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They've since come off highs and were trading almost 8% higher at about $73 a barrel at 8:30 a.m. ET.International benchmark Brent crude oil futures gained as much as 13% and were up about 7% above $74.

That scenario now appears alarmingly close. On the evening of June 12th, Israel launched dozens of air strikes on Iranian military and nuclear sites. The attack threatens to inflame the Gulf, which pumps a third of the world’s oil. Brent crude, the global benchmark, rose by 8% on June 13th, to $74 a barrel (see chart). How high might it now go?